| USA TODAY
Election 2020: Americans worried about response to election results
Here are the biggest takeaways from a new USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll, taken after the final presidential debate.
With just five days until the general election, Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden holds a slight lead over President Donald Trump among Latino voters in the battleground state of Florida, according to a poll published Thursday.
Almost half (48%) of Latino likely voters in Florida said they support Biden, with 43% saying they back Trump, according to a state poll from Telemundo. Less than 10% of Latino voters said they’re undecided (7%) or voting for another candidate (2%).
Latinos will be the largest ethnic or racial minority group in the 2020 election, with 32 million eligible to vote. Florida, which has 29 electoral votes, is considered vital to Trump’s reelection bid and a loss there would be a huge blow.
But Biden is floundering with Cuban voters, a key Latino voting bloc in the state. According to the poll, Trump holds almost a 50 percentage point lead over Biden, 71% to 23% among Cuban voters.
Are ‘ballot selfies’ legal?: Depends where you are voting, it’s punishable in some states
However, Biden is leading among another big Latino voting bloc in the state: Puerto Rican voters, where Biden leads Trump, 66% to 23%.
Cuban voters make up the largest Hispanic eligible voter population in Florida at 29%, followed by Puerto Rican voters at 27%, according to Pew Research.
The margin between Biden and Trump among Latino voters is much smaller than another recent poll of Latino voters released earlier this week. A Univision Florida poll had Biden leading Trump by 20 percentage points among Latinos, 57% to 37%.
Latinos won’t just be a crucial voting bloc in Florida, they will also hold key shares of the vote in Texas, Arizona and Nevada.
The Telemundo poll surveyed 500 registered Hispanic voters statewide by telephone in of those four states, and all indicated they were likely to vote in the general election. There is a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points for each state poll.
Will virus derail Latinos’ political rise?
Latinos have rapidly grown to become the nation’s largest minority population. But because so many are too young to vote or here illegally, they are vastly underrepresented in government. (Aug. 12)
In the traditionally red state of Texas, Biden holds a large lead over Trump among Latino voters, 58% to 34%. The poll shows that 7% are still undecided and 1% say they are choosing another candidate.
In recent days, pundits have showed the race is tightening overall in the Lone Star State. The Cook Political Report recently changed its rating of the state as a toss up, meaning the race could go for either candidate.
But Biden is trailing 2016 Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton among Latinos. According to 2016 exit polls, Clinton won 61% of the Hispanic vote in Texas, while Trump won 34%.
Latinos make up roughly 30% of the Texas electorate, according to Pew Research
Like Arizona and Nevada, women are more likely support Biden than men, although the majority of both genders support the former vice president.
Among female Hispanic voters, Biden leads Trump 63% to 27%. Those gap between the two candidates is much closer among male Hispanic voters, with 52% for Biden and 42% for Trump.
When broken down by age group, 62% of Latino voters under the age of 50 said they support Biden while only 31% said they support Trump. Among voters over 50, 55% said they support Biden while 36% say they support Trump.
Beto O’Rourke block-walks for Democratic voters
Former Presidential and U.S. Senate candidate Beto O’Rourke pounded the pavement and knocked on doors throughout San Antonio in a bid to increase Latino voter turnout. Texas has broken its own records for early voter participation in 2020 (Oct. 28)
Almost 2 in 3 (64%) Latino voters in Arizona say they support Biden in the Nov. 3 election, while 28% said they support Trump. A combined 8% said they are undecided (6%) or supporting a different candidate (2%).
Latinos make up roughly 24% of the electorate in Arizona, according to Pew Research.
Arizona is another key battleground, as a competitive Senate race between Democrat Mark Kelly and Republican incumbent Sen. Martha McSally has Democrats hopeful for win in the traditionally Republican state.
While the majority of both male and female Latino voters support Biden, there is a gap between their level of support. According to the poll, 71% of Latina voters say the support Biden while 20% of Latina voters support Trump. Comparatively, 57% of male Latino voters say they support Biden while 36% support Trump.
Democrats are also winning over Latino voters in the closely watched Senate race.
Nearly 2 in 3 (65%) Latino likely voters support Kelly, while 28% say they McSally.
The poll surveyed 500 registered Hispanic voters in the state, all of which indicated they were likely to vote in the general election. The interviews were conducted by telephone, including both landline and cell phone. There is a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.
Biden holds a commanding lead over Trump among Latino voters in Nevada, 62% to 29%. There are still 7% who say they’re undecided while 2% say they are choosing a different candidate.
Unlike several of the other states polled by Telemundo, Nevada has voted for the Democratic presidential candidate since 2004. In overall polling, Biden is ahead of Trump in the state. But some pundits still view the race as close in the Silver State and Trump’s campaign has been bullish on their chances there.
When broken down by gender, 65% of Hispanic female voters say they support Biden, while 25% support Trump. Among Hispanic male voters, Biden also leads Trump, although by a narrower margin, 58% to 43%.
In the state’s most populous county, Clark County, where Las Vegas is located, Biden leads 64% to 27% among Latino voters. Latinos make up nearly 20% of Nevada’s electorate, according to Pew Research.
How polls work: The science behind gathering voter opinions
The news cycle is jampacked with polls. But have you ever wondered how polls actually work and what they mean?